Tirana vs Laci: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, Tirana
The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Laci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tirana vs Laci?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Tirana (1,752) and Laci (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tirana have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Laci have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AF Elbasani(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | FK Kukesi(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pogradeci(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tirana win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Laci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | Tirana 4-1 Laci | Superliga |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Laci 3-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Tirana 1-1 Laci | Superliga |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Laci 0-0 Tirana | Superliga |
| May 4, 2024 | Laci 1-0 Tirana | Superliga |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Tirana 1-1 Laci | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Laci score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Laci | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tirana sit 10th in Superliga (0 points from 1 matches) and Laci sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Laci | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Tirana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tirana vs Laci?
- The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 35% for Laci.
- Where and when is Tirana vs Laci played?
- Tirana vs Laci is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Selman Stërmasi, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.