Dinamo Vologda vs Iskra Smolensk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Vologda
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vologda the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Iskra Smolensk. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Vologda vs Iskra Smolensk?
Dinamo Vologda starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Vologda have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Iskra Smolensk have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Dinamo Vologda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iskra Smolensk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk 2-1 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Iskra Smolensk vs Dinamo Vologda on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Iskra Smolensk score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Iskra Smolensk | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Vologda sit 8th in Second League - Group 2 (14 points from 11 matches) and Iskra Smolensk sit 13th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dinamo Vologda | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
| 13 | Iskra Smolensk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Iskra Smolensk | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Vologda vs Iskra Smolensk?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Vologda the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Iskra Smolensk.
- Where and when is Dinamo Vologda vs Iskra Smolensk played?
- Dinamo Vologda vs Iskra Smolensk is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.