Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
Dinamo Zagreb is a heavy favourite: 2,174 Elo points against 1,864, a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Istra 1961 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 3-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dinamo Zagreb win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Istra 1961 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Istra 1961 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Istra 1961 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Istra 1961 3-0 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Istra 1961 | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Istra 1961 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Zagreb sit 1st in HNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Istra 1961.
- Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 played?
- Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.