NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica
The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate NK Slaven Belupo (1,828) and NK Osijek (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Slaven Belupo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; NK Osijek have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 NK Slaven Belupo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 NK Osijek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | NK Osijek 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Mar 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Dec 20, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 4, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-4 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 2, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-0 NK Osijek | Cup |
Last archived meeting: NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and NK Osijek sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek?
- The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek played?
- NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Osijek is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.