Match

Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats

HNLMatchday 32Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Dinamo ZagrebIstra 1961

The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Dinamo Zagreb starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,103 vs 1,885).

68%20%12%
Dinamo Zagreb winDrawIstra 1961 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Dinamo Zagreb

4-1-4-1
  1. 9D. Beljo
  1. 27J. Mišić
  2. 10L. Stojković
  3. 7Dani Rodríguez
  4. 11A. Hoxha
  5. 17L. Ivanušec
  1. 15N. Galešić
  2. 25M. Valinčić
  3. 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
  4. 6S. Radeljić
  1. 24D. Kotarski

Istra 1961

4-2-3-1
  1. 94H. Jaganjac
  1. 25G. Albarracín
  2. 22E. Frederiksen
  3. 20D. Ahmeti
  4. 5D. Hodzic
  5. 30N. Skafar Zuzic
  1. 44R. Hrvatin
  2. 13Niko Šepić
  3. 3M. Nasraoui
  4. 4R. Kumar
  1. 1F. Kolić

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Istra 1961 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dinamo Zagreb
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026NK Varazdin(away)3-1HNL
Nov 5, 2026Sunderland(away)2-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026Rudes(away)0-1HNL
Oct 27, 2026HNK Rijeka(home)2-1HNL
Oct 22, 2026NEC Nijmegen(home)2-4UEFA Europa League
Istra 1961
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026HNK Rijeka(home)3-1HNL
Nov 3, 2026Neretva Metković(home)3-0Cup
Oct 30, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)2-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(home)2-2HNL
Oct 17, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away)0-2HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dinamo Zagreb wins, 1 draw, 2 Istra 1961 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
Apr 22, 2026Istra 1961 0-2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
Feb 14, 2026Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Istra 1961HNL
Nov 9, 2025Istra 1961 2-1 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
Aug 23, 2025Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961HNL
Apr 5, 2025Istra 1961 3-0 Dinamo ZagrebHNL

Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dinamo Zagreb score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dinamo Zagreb2.11.268/1510/15
Istra 19612.11.358/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dinamo Zagreb sit 2nd in HNL (25 points from 12 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 4th (19 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Dinamo Zagreb12813281525
4Istra 196113544241919

A question about Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Istra 1961.
Where and when is Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 played?
Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dinamo Zagreb and Istra 1961