Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, Miskolc
The Footlab AI model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diósgyőr II wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa?
On Elo ratings, Diósgyőr II has 1,438 points and Tarpa 1,390.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diósgyőr II
Not enough data to predict the Diósgyőr II lineup.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diósgyőr II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tarpa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eger(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DEAC(home) | 5-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Füzesabony(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Diósgyőr II win, 0 draws, 1 Tarpa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tarpa 2-1 Diósgyőr II | NB III - Northeast |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Diósgyőr II 2-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Diósgyőr II score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diósgyőr II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diósgyőr II sit 8th in NB III - Northeast (16 points from 11 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Diósgyőr II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa played?
- Diósgyőr II vs Tarpa is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at DVTK Edzőcentrum Füves Edzőpálya, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.