Diosgyori VTK vs Karcag SE: prediction and stats
NB IIRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Diósgyőri Stadion, Miskolc
The Footlab model makes Diosgyori VTK the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Karcag SE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diosgyori VTK vs Karcag SE?
Diosgyori VTK starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diosgyori VTK have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Karcag SE have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(away) | 1-4 | NB II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ajka(home) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Soroksar(away) | 0-4 | NB II |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 3-2 | NB II |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FK Košice(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BVSC(away) | 4-1 | NB II |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-3 | NB II |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ajka(away) | 1-1 | NB II |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Soroksar(home) | 2-2 | NB II |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Szentlőrinc SE(away) | 0-0 | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Diosgyori VTK score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karcag SE score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diosgyori VTK | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Karcag SE | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diosgyori VTK sit 12th in NB II (4 points from 4 matches) and Karcag SE sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Karcag SE | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Diosgyori VTK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diosgyori VTK vs Karcag SE?
- The Footlab model makes Diosgyori VTK the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Karcag SE.
- Where and when is Diosgyori VTK vs Karcag SE played?
- Diosgyori VTK vs Karcag SE is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Diósgyőri Stadion, in the NB II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.