Match

Diriangén vs Real Estelí: prediction and stats

Primera DivisionApertura - 15Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cacique Diriangén, Diriamba

DiriangénReal Estelí

The Footlab AI model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Diriangén. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Estelí wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Diriangén vs Real Estelí?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Diriangén (1,681) and Real Estelí (1,656).

33%26%41%
Diriangén winDrawReal Estelí win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Diriangén vs Real Estelí

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Diriangén

4-4-2
  1. 7H. Rojas
  2. 9L. Coronel
  1. 14J. Coronel
  2. 12J. Zapata
  3. 18Waldner Vasquez
  4. 10M. Galvaliz
  1. 17C. Reyes
  2. 4M. Hernández
  3. 6J. Gargonia
  4. 5E. Téllez
  1. 25Victor Castro

Real Estelí

4-1-4-1
  1. 12W. Talavera
  1. 6A. Colombino
  2. 28R. Blanco
  3. 7B. Bonilla
  4. 11J. Barrera
  5. 21E. Casado
  1. 23Ó. Acevedo
  2. 19E. Martínez
  3. 27J. Quijano
  4. 4M. Fletes
  1. 1J. Faust

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diriangén have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Real Estelí have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Diriangén
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026H&H Export(home)3-1Primera Division
Oct 19, 2026Rancho Santana(away)1-0Primera Division
Oct 14, 2026UNAN Managua(away)3-1Primera Division
Oct 11, 2026Walter Ferretti(home)2-4Primera Division
Oct 7, 2026San Marcos(away)2-1Primera Division
Real Estelí
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Managua(home)2-1Primera Division
Oct 18, 2026Walter Ferretti(away)1-3Primera Division
Oct 16, 2026Jalapa(home)1-1Primera Division
Oct 11, 2026Matagalpa(away)4-1Primera Division
Oct 8, 2026UNAN Managua(away)0-1Primera Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Diriangén wins, 4 draws, 0 Real Estelí wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Real Estelí 0-2 DiriangénPrimera Division
May 17, 2026Diriangén 1-1 Real EstelíPrimera Division
May 10, 2026Real Estelí 1-1 DiriangénPrimera Division
Apr 12, 2026Diriangén 1-0 Real EstelíPrimera Division
Feb 12, 2026Real Estelí 1-1 DiriangénPrimera Division
Oct 26, 2025Real Estelí 0-0 DiriangénPrimera Division

Last archived meeting: Real Estelí vs Diriangén on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Diriangén score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Estelí score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Diriangén1.71.458/159/15
Real Estelí1.71.238/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Diriangén sit 2nd in Primera Division (33 points from 14 matches) and Real Estelí sit 4th (22 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Diriangén141031291433
4Real Estelí13643231222

A question about Diriangén vs Real Estelí?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Diriangén vs Real Estelí?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Estelí the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Diriangén.
Where and when is Diriangén vs Real Estelí played?
Diriangén vs Real Estelí is played on October 29, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cacique Diriangén, in the Primera Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?