Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 33Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Ba'quba Stadium, Ba'quba
The Footlab AI model makes Ghaz Al Shamal the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Diyala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ghaz Al Shamal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,452 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Diyala (1,574) and Ghaz Al Shamal (1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Ghaz Al Shamal
Not enough data to predict the Ghaz Al Shamal lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diyala have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ghaz Al Shamal have 3, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ghaz Al Shamal score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ghaz Al Shamal | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/13 | 1/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diyala sit 12th in Iraqi League (14 points from 13 matches) and Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ghaz Al Shamal the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Diyala.
- Where and when is Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal played?
- Diyala vs Ghaz Al Shamal is played on April 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Ba'quba Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.