Mosul vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mosul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Talaba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosul vs Al Talaba?
Al Talaba starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,483).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosul vs Al Talaba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosul
Not enough data to predict the Mosul lineup.
Al Talaba
Not enough data to predict the Al Talaba lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosul have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Al Talaba have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mosul wins, 2 draws, 0 Al Talaba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Mosul 2-2 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Al Talaba 0-0 Mosul | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosul score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosul | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosul sit 17th in Iraqi League (8 points from 9 matches) and Al Talaba sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Mosul vs Al Talaba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosul vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mosul.
- Where and when is Mosul vs Al Talaba played?
- Mosul vs Al Talaba is played on April 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.