Donau vs Gloggnitz: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 15Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz SV Donau, Wien
The Footlab model makes Gloggnitz the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Donau. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Donau vs Gloggnitz?
Gloggnitz starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Donau have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Gloggnitz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiener SC(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Donau win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gloggnitz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Donau 4-7 Gloggnitz | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Gloggnitz 1-0 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
How many goals should we expect?
Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloggnitz score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Gloggnitz | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Donau sit 15th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Gloggnitz sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloggnitz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Gloggnitz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Donau vs Gloggnitz?
- The Footlab model makes Gloggnitz the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Donau.
- Where and when is Donau vs Gloggnitz played?
- Donau vs Gloggnitz is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz SV Donau, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.