Donau vs Leobendorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 29Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz SV Donau, Wien
The Footlab model makes Leobendorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Donau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Donau vs Leobendorf?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Donau (1,547) and Leobendorf (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Donau have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Leobendorf have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 4-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Horn(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Donau win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Leobendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Leobendorf 0-0 Donau | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Donau 0-2 Leobendorf | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Donau 0-1 Leobendorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Leobendorf 2-1 Donau | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Donau 2-2 Leobendorf | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leobendorf score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Leobendorf | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Donau sit 15th in Regionalliga - Ost (2 points from 4 matches) and Leobendorf sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leobendorf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Donau vs Leobendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Leobendorf the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Donau.
- Where and when is Donau vs Leobendorf played?
- Donau vs Leobendorf is played on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz SV Donau, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.