Doncaster vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doncaster vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Doncaster (1,818) and Mansfield Town (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Doncaster have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Doncaster win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mansfield Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town 2-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Doncaster 0-2 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Mansfield Town 1-2 Doncaster | League One |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Doncaster | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Mansfield Town 3-2 Doncaster | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Doncaster 2-2 Mansfield Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Doncaster on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Doncaster sit 20th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doncaster vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab model makes Doncaster the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Doncaster vs Mansfield Town played?
- Doncaster vs Mansfield Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Eco-Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.