Dorostol vs Chernolomets 1919: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Louis Eyer, Silistra
The Footlab model makes Chernolomets 1919 the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorostol vs Chernolomets 1919?
Chernolomets 1919 is a heavy favourite: 1,629 Elo points against 1,285 — a 345-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorostol have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Chernolomets 1919 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-5 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dorostol win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Chernolomets 1919 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919 3-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Dorostol 0-4 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 25, 2025 | Dorostol 0-1 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Chernolomets 1919 1-2 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Dorostol 0-1 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Chernolomets 1919 2-1 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Chernolomets 1919 vs Dorostol on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chernolomets 1919 score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Chernolomets 1919 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorostol sit 16th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Chernolomets 1919 sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chernolomets 1919 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Dorostol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorostol vs Chernolomets 1919?
- The Footlab model makes Chernolomets 1919 the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Dorostol vs Chernolomets 1919 played?
- Dorostol vs Chernolomets 1919 is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Louis Eyer, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.