Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Donchevo, Donchevo
The Footlab AI model makes Chernolomets 1919 the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Ustrem Donchevo. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,255 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919?
Chernolomets 1919 starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,385).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ustrem Donchevo
Not enough data to predict the Ustrem Donchevo lineup.
Chernolomets 1919
4-3-3- BB. Beadirov
- MM. Mehmed
- RR. Stoilov
- SS. Slavchev
- DD. Petkov
- MM. Ivanov
- MMartin Stoyanov Kovachev
- DD. Dimitrov
- VV. Markov
- OO. Remzi
- DD. Pasev
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ustrem Donchevo have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Chernolomets 1919 have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 4-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Devnya 2005(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ustrem Donchevo win, 1 draw, 4 Chernolomets 1919 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919 3-0 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ustrem Donchevo 2-1 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Chernolomets 1919 5-1 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ustrem Donchevo 1-1 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Chernolomets 1919 5-0 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Ustrem Donchevo 1-2 Chernolomets 1919 | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Chernolomets 1919 vs Ustrem Donchevo on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ustrem Donchevo score 2.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chernolomets 1919 score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem Donchevo | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Chernolomets 1919 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ustrem Donchevo sit 14th in Third League - Northeast (10 points from 12 matches) and Chernolomets 1919 sit 4th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 25 |
| 14 | Ustrem Donchevo | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernolomets 1919 the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Ustrem Donchevo.
- Where and when is Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919 played?
- Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919 is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Donchevo, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.