Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Louis Eyer, Silistra
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel?
Septemvri Tervel is a heavy favourite: 1,720 Elo points against 1,285 — a 435-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorostol have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Septemvri Tervel have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dorostol win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Septemvri Tervel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dorostol 0-3 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Septemvri Tervel 6-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Septemvri Tervel 2-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Dorostol 0-2 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Dorostol 1-1 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Septemvri Tervel 3-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Tervel score 2.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Septemvri Tervel | 2.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorostol sit 14th in Third League - Northeast (28 points from 32 matches) and Septemvri Tervel sit 3rd (78 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89 | 22 | 78 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29 | 67 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel played?
- Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Louis Eyer, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.