Fratria II vs Benkovski Isperih: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Staro Oryahovo, Staro Oryahovo
The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria II vs Benkovski Isperih?
Benkovski Isperih starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,516 vs 1,279).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Benkovski Isperih have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Fratria II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Benkovski Isperih win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih 2-0 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Fratria II 1-2 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Benkovski Isperih 5-0 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Benkovski Isperih vs Fratria II on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Benkovski Isperih score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Benkovski Isperih | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria II vs Benkovski Isperih?
- The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Fratria II vs Benkovski Isperih played?
- Fratria II vs Benkovski Isperih is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Staro Oryahovo, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.