Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Chesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 29, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsEbbsfleet United
- Mar 29, 2027TorquayvsTruro City
- Mar 29, 2027DovervsFolkestone Invicta
- Mar 29, 2027BraintreevsChelmsford City
- Mar 29, 2027MaidenheadvsSlough Town
- Mar 29, 2027Billericay TownvsMaidstone Utd
- Mar 29, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsWalton & Hersham
- Mar 29, 2027Weston-super-MarevsSalisbury