Match

Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham UnitedHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab AI model makes Chesham United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesham United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,661) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,674).

43%25%32%
Chesham United winDrawHemel Hempstead Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chesham United

Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.

Hemel Hempstead Town

4-3-3
  1. 16I. Noel-Williams
  2. 10Joseph White
  3. 23Trae Cook
  1. 7G. Williams
  2. 12Kyran Wiltshire
  3. 20Mauro Vilhete
  1. 3D. Dowrich
  2. 2Samuel Adenola
  3. 22Devante Stanley
  4. 15Mathew Achuba
  1. 1M. Johnson

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Ebbsfleet United(away)0-1National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)2-2National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-4National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Oct 20, 2026Forest Green(away)0-5FA Cup
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2026Torquay(home)0-2National League - South
Nov 7, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)1-2National League - South
Oct 31, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-5National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-3National League - South
Oct 24, 2026AFC Totton(home)1-3National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Chesham United wins, 0 draws, 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town 0-3 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Dec 26, 2025Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Apr 18, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Jan 1, 2025Chesham United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesham United1.82.428/1512/15
Hemel Hempstead Town0.81.738/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesham United sit 21st in National League - South (11 points from 15 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th (15 points from 17 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368152615
21Chesham United153210203311

A question about Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Chesham United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Chesham United vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesham United and Hemel Hempstead Town