Match

Maidstone Utd vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone UtdDover

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Dover. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Dover?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,727).

Maidstone Utd win68 %
Draw19 %
Dover win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Maidstone Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Dover 0-2 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Dec 26, 2025Maidstone Utd 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Mar 2, 2024Dover 0-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Nov 14, 2023Maidstone Utd 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Sep 26, 2020Maidstone Utd 3-0 DoverFriendlies Clubs
Jan 1, 2019Maidstone Utd 0-1 DoverNational League

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Maidstone Utd on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Maidstone Utd4211857
10Dover4202886

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Dover.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Dover played?
Maidstone Utd vs Dover is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maidstone Utd and Dover

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