Dover vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Dover (1,855) and Horsham (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Horsham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Horsham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-4 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Dover win, 2 draws, 1 Horsham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | Horsham 1-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dover 1-1 Horsham | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Dover 1-2 Horsham | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Horsham 1-3 Dover | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Horsham | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 7th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Horsham sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Dover vs Horsham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Horsham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Dover vs Horsham played?
- Dover vs Horsham is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Maidstone UtdvsFarnham Town
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026MaidenheadvsFolkestone Invicta
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Nov 21, 2026FarnboroughvsSalisbury