Match

Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadFolkestone Invicta

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,811).

Maidenhead win33 %
Draw26 %
Folkestone Invicta win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Folkestone Invicta3120735
14Maidenhead4121235

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta played?
Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Folkestone Invicta

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