Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Folkestone Invicta | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 12th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Folkestone Invicta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
- The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta played?
- Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Maidstone UtdvsFarnham Town
- Nov 21, 2026DovervsHorsham
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Nov 21, 2026FarnboroughvsSalisbury