Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folkestone Invicta wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,873) and Folkestone Invicta (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Folkestone Invicta
Not enough data to predict the Folkestone Invicta lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Folkestone Invicta have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Folkestone Invicta score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Folkestone Invicta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 16th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Folkestone Invicta sit 15th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta played?
- Maidenhead vs Folkestone Invicta is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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