Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Farnham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Maidstone Utd (1,930) and Farnham Town (1,904).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Farnham Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Farnham Town sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Farnham Town.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026DovervsHorsham
- Nov 21, 2026BraintreevsTorquay
- Nov 21, 2026MaidenheadvsFolkestone Invicta
- Nov 21, 2026Billericay TownvsSlough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Truro CityvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Nov 21, 2026Chesham UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 21, 2026AFC TottonvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Nov 21, 2026FarnboroughvsSalisbury