Dover vs Salisbury: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salisbury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Salisbury?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Dover (1,834) and Salisbury (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Salisbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Salisbury
4-3-3- OO. Dore
- DD. Fitchett
- JJ. Hedges
- CC. Watts
- RR. Silva
- 8Lewis Brown
- 6Sido Jombati
- JJosh Sommerton
- TThomas Leggett
- BBrian Dutton
- 27R. Byrne
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Salisbury have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dover win, 0 draws, 1 Salisbury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Salisbury 2-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dover 2-0 Salisbury | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Salisbury sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Dover vs Salisbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Salisbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Salisbury played?
- Dover vs Salisbury is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Maidstone UtdvsTorquay
- Feb 20, 2027BraintreevsFarnham Town
- Feb 20, 2027MaidenheadvsEbbsfleet United
- Feb 20, 2027Billericay TownvsWeston-super-Mare
- Feb 20, 2027Truro CityvsHampton & Richmond
- Feb 20, 2027Chesham UnitedvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Feb 20, 2027AFC TottonvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Feb 20, 2027FarnboroughvsFolkestone Invicta