Match

Dover vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverSalisbury

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Dover (1,727) and Salisbury (1,760).

Dover win37 %
Draw25 %
Salisbury win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Salisbury win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Salisbury 2-1 DoverNational League - South
Aug 23, 2025Dover 2-0 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Dover on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Salisbury?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Salisbury played?
Dover vs Salisbury is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and Salisbury

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