Where and when is Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United played?

Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

Maidenhead

Ebbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,816) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Maidenhead win44 %

Draw26 %

Ebbsfleet United win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 17, 2026	Maidenhead 2-3 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Jan 31, 2026	Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Maidenhead	National League - South
Apr 26, 2025	Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Maidenhead	National League
Sep 24, 2024	Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League
Jan 23, 2024	Maidenhead 0-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League
Nov 21, 2023	Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Maidenhead	National League

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?: The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United played?: Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.