Match

Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadEbbsfleet United

The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,826) and Ebbsfleet United (1,895).

27%27%46%
Maidenhead winDrawEbbsfleet United win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Maidenhead

4-3-3
  1. AA. Pendlebury
  2. 27C. Hall
  3. 19D. Nkrumah
  1. 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
  2. 21J. Coley
  3. 36J. Johnson
  1. 22M. Welch-Hayes
  2. 19Owen Cochrane
  3. 28J. McMenemy
  4. AAlfie Calver
  1. 1J. van Stappershoef

Ebbsfleet United

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Cosgrave
  2. 14D. Samuel
  3. 17L. Peake
  1. 22B. Chapman
  2. 4J. Hessenthaler
  3. 20M. Manktelow
  1. 24M. Olagunju
  2. 12Ronny Nelson
  3. 7J. Passley
  4. 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
  1. 13G. Bellagambi

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Sep 26, 2026Chesham United(away)4-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Ebbsfleet United(home)1-3FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-2National League - South
Sep 8, 2026Torquay(home)0-4National League - South
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026AFC Totton(home)5-0National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Hampton & Richmond(away)2-0National League - South
Oct 6, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-0National League - South
Oct 3, 2026Sholing(home)1-2FA Cup
Sep 29, 2026Slough Town(away)1-1National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidenhead wins, 0 draws, 4 Ebbsfleet United wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Maidenhead 1-3 Ebbsfleet UnitedFA Cup
Mar 17, 2026Maidenhead 2-3 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Jan 31, 2026Ebbsfleet United 3-0 MaidenheadNational League - South
Apr 26, 2025Ebbsfleet United 0-2 MaidenheadNational League
Sep 24, 2024Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League
Jan 23, 2024Maidenhead 0-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.245/155/15
Ebbsfleet United1.61.159/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 16th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 6th (18 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ebbsfleet United853014318
16Maidenhead11344121213

A question about Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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