Match

Salisbury vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire

SalisburyDover

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salisbury vs Dover?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,756) and Dover (1,722).

Salisbury win58 %
Draw22 %
Dover win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Salisbury win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Salisbury 2-1 DoverNational League - South
Aug 23, 2025Dover 2-0 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Dover on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Dover.
Where and when is Salisbury vs Dover played?
Salisbury vs Dover is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Salisbury and Dover

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