Dover vs Torquay: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Torquay?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Torquay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Torquay have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dover wins, 1 draw, 5 Torquay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Dover 2-3 Torquay | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Torquay 3-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Torquay 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Dover 2-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Dover 1-3 Torquay | National League |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Torquay 2-1 Dover | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Torquay | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Torquay sit 12th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Dover vs Torquay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Torquay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Torquay played?
- Dover vs Torquay is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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