Match

Dover vs Torquay: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverTorquay

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Torquay?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,727).

Dover win29 %
Draw24 %
Torquay win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Torquay have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dover win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Torquay win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2026Dover 2-3 TorquayNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Torquay 3-2 DoverNational League - South
Jan 20, 2024Torquay 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Aug 5, 2023Dover 2-2 TorquayNational League - South
Feb 12, 2022Dover 1-3 TorquayNational League
Nov 13, 2021Torquay 2-1 DoverNational League

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Torquay on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Torquay sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
13Torquay4121345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Torquay?
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Torquay played?
Dover vs Torquay is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and Torquay

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