Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ebbsfleet United starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 6-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chesham United win, 0 draws, 1 Ebbsfleet United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Chesham United 4-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 19th in National League - South (10 points from 11 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 22 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 6, 2027Truro CityvsFolkestone Invicta
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