Where and when is Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United played?

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire

Chesham United

Ebbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Chesham United win44 %

Draw25 %

Ebbsfleet United win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Chesham United 4-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Nov 22, 2025	Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?: The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United played?: Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.