Farnborough vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,809) and Chelmsford City (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chelmsford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Farnborough 4-2 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Chelmsford City 2-5 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Farnborough 3-4 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Chelmsford City 1-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Chelmsford City on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnborough | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Farnborough vs Chelmsford City played?
- Farnborough vs Chelmsford City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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