Match

Farnborough vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,809) and Chelmsford City (1,874).

Farnborough win31 %
Draw23 %
Chelmsford City win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chelmsford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2026Farnborough 4-2 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Sep 1, 2025Chelmsford City 2-5 FarnboroughNational League - South
Feb 8, 2025Farnborough 3-4 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Oct 19, 2024Chelmsford City 1-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Feb 27, 2024Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Aug 5, 2023Chelmsford City 1-0 FarnboroughNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Chelmsford City on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Chelmsford City played?
Farnborough vs Chelmsford City is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnborough and Chelmsford City

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