Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis, Komotini
The Footlab model makes Doxa Neo Sidirochori the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Doxa Neo Sidirochori (1,438) and Aetos Orfani (1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Doxa Neo Sidirochori have 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Aris Avato(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Didymoteicho(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Kardia(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Doxa Neo Sidirochori win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aetos Orfani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori 1-3 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani on Oct 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Doxa Neo Sidirochori score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doxa Neo Sidirochori | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab model makes Doxa Neo Sidirochori the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Doxa Neo Sidirochori vs Aetos Orfani is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.