Xanthi FC vs MAS Ardas Kastanion: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Xanthi FC Arena, Pigadia
The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for MAS Ardas Kastanion. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xanthi FC vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xanthi FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; MAS Ardas Kastanion have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 7-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Xanthi FC | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48 | 17 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xanthi FC vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
- The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for MAS Ardas Kastanion.
- Where and when is Xanthi FC vs MAS Ardas Kastanion played?
- Xanthi FC vs MAS Ardas Kastanion is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Xanthi FC Arena, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.