Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 2Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Paralímniou, Paralimni
The Footlab model makes Apollon Paralimniou the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kavala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala?
Kavala starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Paralimniou have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kavala have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Evosmou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Apollon Paralimniou win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kavala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | Apollon Paralimniou 0-2 Kavala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Kavala 3-1 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Kavala 3-0 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Apollon Paralimniou 0-1 Kavala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala on Feb 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Paralimniou score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Paralimniou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Apollon Paralimniou | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Paralimniou the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kavala.
- Where and when is Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala played?
- Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Paralímniou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.