Dragon vs Juventud Independiente: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 4Kick-off on August 18, 2013 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
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What was the result of Dragon vs Juventud Independiente?
Juventud Independiente won 1-2 on August 18, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 14′J. CamposJuventud Independiente
- 39′224452Dragon
- 59′Ó. CerénJuventud Independiente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Dragon have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Juventud Independiente have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2013 | Alianza(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 10, 2013 | UES(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 4, 2013 | Atlético Marte(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2013 | UES(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Atlético Marte(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Aug 4, 2013 | FAS(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| May 19, 2013 | FAS(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| May 12, 2013 | FAS(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragon score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Juventud Independiente score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragon | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
| Juventud Independiente | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy