Dragons vs Cavaliers: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Charles de Gaulle, Porto-Novo
The Footlab model makes Cavaliers the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragons vs Cavaliers?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Dragons (1,678) and Cavaliers (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragons have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cavaliers have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(away) | 1-3 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Loto Popo(home) | 0-2 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | ASPAC(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dragons(home) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bani Gansè(away) | 4-2 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Hodio(home) | 0-2 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | Kraké(away) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dragons win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cavaliers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cavaliers 2-1 Dragons | Championnat National |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dragons 3-1 Cavaliers | Championnat National |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Dragons 3-1 Cavaliers | Championnat National |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cavaliers 2-0 Dragons | Championnat National |
| May 7, 2023 | Dragons 0-1 Cavaliers | Championnat National |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Cavaliers 2-0 Dragons | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cavaliers score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Cavaliers | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragons sit 14th in Championnat National (36 points from 33 matches) and Cavaliers sit 16th (35 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Dragons | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 44 | 36 |
| 16 | Cavaliers | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 36 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragons vs Cavaliers?
- The Footlab model makes Cavaliers the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Dragons.
- Where and when is Dragons vs Cavaliers played?
- Dragons vs Cavaliers is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Charles de Gaulle, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.