Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports de Grand-Popo, Grand Popo
The Footlab model makes Loto Popo the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for AS Sobemap. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Loto Popo (1,812) and AS Sobemap (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loto Popo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AS Sobemap have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Coton Sport Ouidah(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | ASPAC(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JSP(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | AS Sobemap(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Bani Gansè(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | AS Cotonou(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Dadjè(home) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Loto Popo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AS Sobemap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Loto Popo 0-1 AS Sobemap | Championnat National |
| Jan 18, 2026 | AS Sobemap 1-0 Loto Popo | Championnat National |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Loto Popo 1-1 AS Sobemap | Championnat National |
| Apr 7, 2024 | AS Sobemap 1-0 Loto Popo | Championnat National |
Last archived meeting: Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Loto Popo score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AS Sobemap score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loto Popo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
| AS Sobemap | 0.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loto Popo sit 4th in Championnat National (57 points from 33 matches) and AS Sobemap sit 1st (67 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Sobemap | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 67 |
| 4 | Loto Popo | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 22 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap?
- The Footlab model makes Loto Popo the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for AS Sobemap.
- Where and when is Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap played?
- Loto Popo vs AS Sobemap is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports de Grand-Popo, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.