Panthères vs Buffles: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Djougou, Djougou
The Footlab model makes Buffles the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Panthères. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panthères vs Buffles?
Buffles starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panthères have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Buffles have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2025 | Tonnerre(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Dadjè(away) | 1-3 | Championnat National |
| May 24, 2025 | Tukunnin(away) | 4-1 | Championnat National |
| May 18, 2025 | Dynamo Abomey(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 11, 2025 | Loto Popo(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Dragons(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Bani Gansè(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Damissa(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(home) | 2-3 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | AS Sobemap(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Panthères win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Buffles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Buffles 2-0 Panthères | Championnat National |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Panthères 0-0 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Buffles 1-1 Panthères | Championnat National |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Panthères 0-3 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Panthères 1-2 Buffles | Championnat National |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Buffles 1-0 Panthères | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
Panthères score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buffles score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthères | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Buffles | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Buffles | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panthères vs Buffles?
- The Footlab model makes Buffles the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for Panthères.
- Where and when is Panthères vs Buffles played?
- Panthères vs Buffles is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Djougou, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.