Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Champion Hill Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Dulwich Hamlet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Dulwich Hamlet (1,785) and Aveley (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dulwich Hamlet have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Aveley have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dulwich Hamlet win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aveley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aveley 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dulwich Hamlet 3-3 Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Aveley vs Dulwich Hamlet on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dulwich Hamlet score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aveley score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dulwich Hamlet | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aveley | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dulwich Hamlet sit 10th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Aveley sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aveley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley?
- The Footlab model makes Aveley the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Dulwich Hamlet.
- Where and when is Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley played?
- Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Champion Hill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026DartfordvsWhitehawk
- Sep 19, 2026St Albans CityvsBurgess Hill Town
- Sep 19, 2026WhyteleafevsBrentwood Town
- Sep 19, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsEastbourne Borough
- Sep 19, 2026Three BridgesvsLeatherhead
- Sep 19, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEnfield Town
- Sep 19, 2026CheshuntvsLewes
- Sep 19, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsRamsgate