Three Bridges vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jubilee Field, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Three Bridges. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Three Bridges vs Leatherhead?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Three Bridges (1,813) and Leatherhead (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Three Bridges have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Welling United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Three Bridges sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (0 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leatherhead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Three Bridges vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Three Bridges.
- Where and when is Three Bridges vs Leatherhead played?
- Three Bridges vs Leatherhead is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Jubilee Field, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 19, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsEastbourne Borough
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- Sep 19, 2026CheshuntvsLewes
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