St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Clarence Park, St. Albans, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate St Albans City (1,794) and Burgess Hill Town (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Albans City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 St Albans City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town 0-1 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 25, 2025 | St Albans City 3-4 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs St Albans City on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St Albans City sit 13th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Clarence Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026DartfordvsWhitehawk
- Sep 19, 2026WhyteleafevsBrentwood Town
- Sep 19, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsEastbourne Borough
- Sep 19, 2026Three BridgesvsLeatherhead
- Sep 19, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEnfield Town
- Sep 19, 2026CheshuntvsLewes
- Sep 19, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsRamsgate
- Sep 19, 2026Dulwich HamletvsAveley