Match

St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Clarence Park, St. Albans, Hertfordshire

St Albans CityBurgess Hill Town

The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate St Albans City (1,794) and Burgess Hill Town (1,828).

St Albans City win41 %
Draw23 %
Burgess Hill Town win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Albans City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St Albans City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ramsgate(away)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Lewes(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Enfield Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Chatham Town(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 St Albans City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Burgess Hill Town 0-1 St Albans CityNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 25, 2025St Albans City 3-4 Burgess Hill TownNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Burgess Hill Town vs St Albans City on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
St Albans City1.31.527/156/15
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St Albans City sit 13th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13St Albans City4202586
14Burgess Hill Town4121655

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town?
The Footlab model makes St Albans City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town.
Where and when is St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town played?
St Albans City vs Burgess Hill Town is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Clarence Park, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: St Albans City and Burgess Hill Town

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