Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Champion Hill Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Dulwich Hamlet the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dulwich Hamlet (1,785) and Carshalton Athletic (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dulwich Hamlet have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dulwich Hamlet win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Carshalton Athletic 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Carshalton Athletic 3-0 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dulwich Hamlet score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dulwich Hamlet | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dulwich Hamlet sit 10th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Dulwich Hamlet the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Dulwich Hamlet vs Carshalton Athletic is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Champion Hill Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.