Where and when is Dumbarton vs Celtic II played?

Dumbarton vs Celtic II is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dumbarton vs Celtic II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton

Dumbarton

Celtic II

The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dumbarton vs Celtic II?

Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,453).

Dumbarton win30 %

Draw22 %

Celtic II win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dumbarton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kelty Hearts(away)	1-3	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Edinburgh City(home)	0-3	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Airdrie United(home)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Clyde(home)	1-0	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Stirling Albion(away)	0-2	League Two

Celtic II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cumnock Juniors(home)	4-1	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026	Dalbeattie Star(away)	5-1	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 12, 2026	Hamilton Academical(away)	3-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Renfrew(away)	5-3	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Johnstone Burgh(home)	1-1	Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Dumbarton score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dumbarton	0.9	2.7	2	6/15	10/15
Celtic II	2.9	2.1	1	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Celtic II?: The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Dumbarton.
Where and when is Dumbarton vs Celtic II played?: Dumbarton vs Celtic II is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.