Match

Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar

Forfar AthleticFormartine United

The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United?

Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,531).

Forfar Athletic win36 %
Draw23 %
Formartine United win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forfar Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Clyde(away)0-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stirling Albion(home)3-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Aberdeen U21(home)0-3Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Elgin City(away)1-1League Two
Aug 1, 2026Kelty Hearts(home)1-0League Two
Formartine United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Keith(home)4-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Rothes(away)4-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Invergordon(away)2-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026Dundee II(home)4-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Huntly(home)2-2Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Forfar Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Formartine United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 6, 2024Forfar Athletic 2-1 Formartine UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2023Forfar Athletic 2-1 Formartine UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Oct 23, 2021Formartine United 0-2 Forfar AthleticFA Cup
Aug 10, 2021Forfar Athletic 1-0 Formartine UnitedChallenge Cup

Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United on Jul 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forfar Athletic0.92.526/1511/15
Formartine United1.81.149/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United?
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Forfar Athletic.
Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United played?
Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Forfar Athletic and Formartine United

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