Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Station Park, Forfar
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forfar Athletic have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Formartine United have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Forfar Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Formartine United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2024 | Forfar Athletic 2-1 Formartine United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Forfar Athletic 2-1 Formartine United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Formartine United 0-2 Forfar Athletic | FA Cup |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Forfar Athletic 1-0 Formartine United | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United on Jul 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Forfar Athletic score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United played?
- Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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