Dumbarton vs Elgin City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The moreroom.com Stadium, Dumbarton
The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Dumbarton. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
Elgin City starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,544 vs 1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dumbarton vs Elgin City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dumbarton
5-3-2- 21S. Honeyman
- 20Robert James Karl Cleary
- 8J. Todd
- 6O. Hartington
- 10D. Craig
- 24M. Doyle
- 3A. Omar
- 5T. Lang
- 19C. McKenna
- 34T. Robson
- 54M. Munn
Elgin City
3-4-1-2- 9K. Hester
- 11O. Colloty
- 7R. Dingwall
- 22J. Maciver
- 10M. Gallagher
- 77L. Scullion
- 23M. Grant
- 2M. Neill
- 5K. Girvan
- 6J. Murray
- 1T. Ritchie
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dumbarton have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Elgin City have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 6-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dumbarton win, 4 draws, 1 Elgin City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Elgin City 1-1 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Dumbarton 2-2 Elgin City | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Elgin City 2-0 Dumbarton | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Dumbarton 1-1 Elgin City | League Two |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Dumbarton 2-2 Elgin City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Dumbarton vs Elgin City on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dumbarton score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elgin City score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Elgin City | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dumbarton sit 6th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Elgin City sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dumbarton vs Elgin City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elgin City the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Dumbarton.
- Where and when is Dumbarton vs Elgin City played?
- Dumbarton vs Elgin City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The moreroom.com Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.