Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stair Park, Stranraer
The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Forfar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stranraer wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
Stranraer starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,620 vs 1,506).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stranraer
4-1-3-2- 16Lewis Dobbie
- 11A. Healy
- 8A. Quigg
- 12A. Traynor
- 24S. Mason
- 14Z. Bruce
- 4M. McLuckie
- 2E. Dunne
- 5Kenzi Nair
- 3F. Ecrepont
- 1M. Currie
Forfar Athletic
4-3-3- 9S. Shepherd
- 22Luca Perrie
- 10M. Rennie
- 16A. Arnott
- 19E. Crombie
- 12B. Alston
- 4J. Wyllie
- 15Mackenzie Lemon
- 14A. Mailer
- 5M. Allan
- 21Neil Stafford
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stranraer have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Forfar Athletic have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 6-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stranraer wins, 1 draw, 3 Forfar Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 0-3 Stranraer | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Stranraer 0-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Forfar Athletic 2-2 Stranraer | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Stranraer 3-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Forfar Athletic 1-0 Stranraer | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Stranraer 0-1 Forfar Athletic | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stranraer score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Forfar Athletic score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Forfar Athletic | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stranraer sit 1st in League Two (20 points from 10 matches) and Forfar Athletic sit 7th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 20 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stranraer the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Forfar Athletic.
- Where and when is Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic played?
- Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stair Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.