Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Alexandria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Mogosoaia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,506) and Alexandria (1,560).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
Alexandria
4-3-3- CC. Cocoș
- SS. Iakabfi
- BB. Yaméogo
- MM. RÄducan
- VV. Danale
- VV. Constantin
- VV. Georgescu
- AA. Bobaru
- PPetruș Pintilie
- GG. Nedelea
- II. Pletea
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Alexandria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Progresul Mogosoaia wins, 1 draw, 0 Alexandria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Alexandria 2-2 Progresul Mogosoaia | Liga III - Serie 5 |
Last archived meeting: Alexandria vs Progresul Mogosoaia on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alexandria score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Alexandria | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and Alexandria sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Alexandria.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.