Dunarea Calarasi vs Agricola Borcea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, Călăraşi
The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dunarea Calarasi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunarea Calarasi vs Agricola Borcea?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Dunarea Calarasi (1,449) and Agricola Borcea (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunarea Calarasi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Agricola Borcea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Olimpic Zărneşti(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunarea Calarasi win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Agricola Borcea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Agricola Borcea 3-0 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Dunarea Calarasi 0-1 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 3-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Agricola Borcea 0-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Dunarea Calarasi 2-0 Agricola Borcea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Agricola Borcea 1-1 Dunarea Calarasi | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Agricola Borcea vs Dunarea Calarasi on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Agricola Borcea score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Agricola Borcea | 2.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunarea Calarasi vs Agricola Borcea?
- The Footlab model makes Agricola Borcea the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dunarea Calarasi.
- Where and when is Dunarea Calarasi vs Agricola Borcea played?
- Dunarea Calarasi vs Agricola Borcea is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.