Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Vasile Enache, Modelu
The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Progresul Fundulea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Înainte Modelu (1,464) and Progresul Fundulea (1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Înainte Modelu have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Înainte Modelu win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Progresul Fundulea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Înainte Modelu 2-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 1-0 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Înainte Modelu 2-0 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 11, 2024 | Progresul Fundulea 0-0 Înainte Modelu | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Înainte Modelu 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Înainte Modelu score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Înainte Modelu | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab model makes Înainte Modelu the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Progresul Fundulea.
- Where and when is Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- Înainte Modelu vs Progresul Fundulea is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Vasile Enache, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.