Dunarea Calarasi vs FC Oţelul II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, Călăraşi
The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for FC Oţelul II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunarea Calarasi vs FC Oţelul II?
Dunarea Calarasi starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,449 vs 1,203).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunarea Calarasi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Oţelul II have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 2-7 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 8, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Braila(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunarea Calarasi score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Oţelul II score 1.5 and concede 4.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunarea Calarasi | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Oţelul II | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunarea Calarasi vs FC Oţelul II?
- The Footlab model makes Dunarea Calarasi the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for FC Oţelul II.
- Where and when is Dunarea Calarasi vs FC Oţelul II played?
- Dunarea Calarasi vs FC Oţelul II is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Municipal Dunărea Teren 1 Ion Comșa, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.