Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Agigea, Agigea
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Fundulea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,454).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Agigea
Not enough data to predict the Agigea lineup.
Progresul Fundulea
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agigea have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portul Constanta(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Agigea win, 0 draws, 2 Progresul Fundulea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea 0-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Agigea 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agigea sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 4 (14 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Fundulea sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Agigea, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.