Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Agigea, Agigea
The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,456 vs 1,300).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agigea have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 4-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Agigea win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Progresul Fundulea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Agigea 0-2 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Agigea 2-1 Progresul Fundulea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Progresul Fundulea 2-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Agigea, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.