Dundela vs Ards: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wilgar Park, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Ards the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dundela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundela vs Ards?
Ards starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,341 vs 1,185).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundela have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Ards have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundela win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ards win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ards 2-2 Dundela | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ards 0-1 Dundela | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dundela 1-1 Ards | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dundela 1-4 Ards | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Ards 1-0 Dundela | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Dundela 1-0 Ards | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundela score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundela | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ards | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundela sit 13th in Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Ards sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ards | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 11 | Dundela | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 73 | 20 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 77 | 28 |
| 13 | Dundela | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundela vs Ards?
- The Footlab model makes Ards the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Dundela.
- Where and when is Dundela vs Ards played?
- Dundela vs Ards is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wilgar Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.