Newington Youth vs Loughgall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Loughgall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Loughgall?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Newington Youth (1,472) and Loughgall (1,385).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newington Youth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Loughgall have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newington Youth win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Loughgall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall 2-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Newington Youth 2-1 Loughgall | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Loughgall 2-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Loughgall 2-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-3 Loughgall | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Loughgall 1-0 Newington Youth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Newington Youth on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newington Youth sit 1st in Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Loughgall sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newington Youth vs Loughgall?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Loughgall.
- Where and when is Newington Youth vs Loughgall played?
- Newington Youth vs Loughgall is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.